Technical analysis cheat sheet — structure, patterns and indicators
Eight sections and ten tables to keep beside your monitor: what each concept means, when it actually qualifies, what confirms it, what invalidates it and the most common mistake. This is the operational summary of section 5 — technical analysis: the chapters explain mechanisms, numerical examples and research; this sheet sets out the recognition rules under the conventions used in the course. It does not tell you whether to enter a trade. It tells you whether the chart meets the definition you chose.
- Nothing is confirmed before the candle closes. A swing, breakout, chart pattern, candlestick signal or oscillator reading on an unfinished candle is provisional: a swing is confirmed two candles after its extreme (the 2+2 rule), a breakout requires a close outside the zone, and the course convention for a candlestick signal requires another candle to close beyond the pattern's extreme. Stars and three inside patterns build confirmation into the third candle; soldiers/crows build it into the complete pattern.
- Every directional row has two boundaries: confirmation and invalidation. Warning patterns and indicators instead specify limits to interpretation; where the course does not prescribe a rule, this sheet does not invent one. Write both boundaries before the decision, not afterwards: without an invalidation condition, a pattern is a shape rather than a scenario. Invalidation should be structural — a confirmed swing or zone boundary — rather than placed “behind the wick” for appearance. Assessing a pattern at the candle close does not automatically determine how a stop-loss order is executed.
- Indicator settings are conventions, not optimisation results. RSI(14) with 30/70 thresholds, stochastic (14, 3, 3) with 20/80, MACD (12, 26, 9), ADX with a threshold of 25, and SMA(20) ± 2σ bands provide a common language, not physical boundaries. Changing the period after seeing losses fits the rule to history; its value must be checked on new data.
- The same pattern can look different at two brokers. A D1 candle ends when the server's trading day ends. A New York-close feed uses 17:00 America/New_York: normally 23:00 in Europe/Warsaw, but 22:00 during US/European daylight-saving mismatch weeks. A GMT+0 feed closes at 00:00 UTC, or 01:00/02:00 in Warsaw. D1 hammers, RSI(14) and necklines therefore depend on the feed. This sheet supplies the rules; check the values on your own chart and convert the times to your location.
Conventions — the essential context for the tables
Technical analysis uses at least four breakout conventions, several swing definitions and platform-dependent indicator thresholds. This sheet adopts one set: the conventions developed in section 5, including the boundary clarifications in the Polish source v1.2. If your plan uses a different convention, record it alongside these rules. Consistency and choosing the rule before entry matter more than using this particular version.
- Swings: the 2+2 rule. A high qualifies as a swing high when it is higher than the highs of the two candles to its left and no lower than the highs of the two to its right. This asymmetry gives an earlier candle priority in a tie; reverse the comparisons for a swing low. Recognition is delayed: the extreme forms in candle T, but becomes a confirmed swing only after T+2 closes. Any live trend classification therefore uses structure with at least that much confirmation delay (5.3).
- Trend. An uptrend is a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (HH/HL) on confirmed swings; a downtrend has lower highs and lower lows (LH/LL). No such sequence between horizontal support and resistance means consolidation. This is an operational definition, not the only possible one. It requires an explicit swing-selection rule, but no indicator.
- Wick breach, breakout, false breakout and retest. A breach is a move beyond a zone boundary, even by a wick, without a close beyond it. A breakout is a candle close outside the zone on the timeframe being analysed; it cannot be known before that candle closes. A false breakout occurs when any of the next three candles closes back inside the zone or beyond its opposite side. A retest is a return to the zone after a breakout, followed by a close back on the breakout side, within twenty candles of the same timeframe; a later return is a separate approach to the zone. False breakout takes priority in classification. A retest observed at T+1 or T+2 remains provisional until T+3 closes: a subsequent close back in the zone within that window changes its classification. Keep both the original recognition time and the later change in your journal, without inserting knowledge from the future. The numbers 3 and 20 are the convention in 5.3, not measured optimal values.
- Chart patterns. The shape is a label; confirmation requires a candle close beyond the confirmation line — neckline, trough between peaks or triangle boundary. A close back on the original side invalidates the scenario. A measured move is a planning reference, not a promise (5.4).
- Candlestick patterns: three states. While the candle is forming, its shape is a hypothesis. Once it closes, the shape is established but there is still no signal. The immediately following candle close beyond the pattern's extreme activates the directional hypothesis. This is the conservative course convention (5.5); long wicks make confirmation rare, which is its trade-off rather than a defect. Three-candle patterns include confirmation: the third candle for stars and three inside, the whole pattern for soldiers/crows. The exception to “close, not wick” is invalidation of an Elliott-wave count in 5.10, explicitly marked in table 7.
- Closed candles only — indicators too. RSI(14) calculated on D1 and displayed on H4 keeps changing throughout the day until the D1 candle closes. The broker's server determines the cut-off. A New York-close server (commonly GMT+2/+3, aligned to 17:00 America/New_York) closes at roughly 23:00 Europe/Warsaw, or 22:00 during the US/CET-CEST changeover mismatch. GMT+0 closes at 00:00 UTC, corresponding to 01:00 Warsaw in winter and 02:00 in summer, usually with an extra short Sunday candle. These Warsaw conversions retain the source's worked example; use the appropriate conversion for your own time zone. The same day can be a hammer on one feed and a spinning top on another (5.5, 5.11).
- Volume on spot FX is the broker's tick volume, not centralised market turnover. Volume confirmation is consequently less direct than on equities: use it as context rather than as a required confirmation criterion (5.4, 5.10).
- Numbers in the tables — prices, pips and ratios — are illustrative or practitioner conventions. Pattern statistics discussed in section 5 mostly concern US equities (Bulkowski, Marshall and others), with recognition on historical data rather than live charts. The FX research cited in 5.4 and 5.8 concerns support/resistance levels and indicator rules, not individual patterns. This sheet therefore does not relabel those results as pattern “accuracy”.
- Boundaries and precision. The zone [L, H] includes both edges. An upward breakout requires C > H; a downward breakout requires C < L. A close exactly on an edge remains inside the zone. “Beyond an extreme” means a strict inequality; “at least” allows equality. Compare prices at the feed's tick precision, not after rounding chart labels. Never replace a missing candle with zero or a copy of its predecessor.
- Windows start from the breakout. T is the breakout candle, T+1 the first candle afterwards. A close inside the zone at T+3 still qualifies as a false breakout; the same event at T+4 no longer has that label. After the false-breakout window ends, a retest is allowed up to and including T+20; T+21 is a separate approach. A close back inside the zone ends the existing retest scenario; a fresh scenario requires a fresh breakout. If required data are missing within these windows, suspend classification until the gaps are resolved.
- Ties and swing order. For highs of 9, 10, 12, 12, 11, the first 12 is a confirmed swing high once the last candle closes; the second 12 loses the tie. A wide-range candle can satisfy both swing-high and swing-low conditions. OHLC alone does not reveal which extreme came first: do not turn it into two consecutive turning points without lower-timeframe data and a recorded rule. A trend requires comparison of at least two highs and two lows, not HH/HL labels without reference points.
Table 1: market structure — trends, zones and breakouts
The foundation that gives the other tables context: a hammer without a zone is a shape; a pattern without a trend is a label. Definitions from 5.3 and 5.6.
On a small screen, scroll tables and diagrams horizontally. With a keyboard, use Tab to focus the scrollable area, then use the arrow keys.
| Element | Working definition | When it qualifies: confirmation | What invalidates it | Common mistake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swing high / swing low | A high above the two highs to its left and at least as high as the two to its right; reverse for lows. This is the 2+2 rule in 5.3. A different number of candles defines another acceptable rule, provided it is explicit. | After candle T+2 closes, counting from the extreme | A new, more extreme price within the two-candle window changes the candidate; an already confirmed swing does not disappear | “Seeing” a swing while it is forming; using different rules in the plan and the journal |
| Uptrend | Higher highs and higher lows (HH/HL) on confirmed swings | A complete sequence of at least HL → HH → HL | A breach of the latest confirmed HL is a warning, not a conclusion. The sequence is broken only when the 2+2 rule confirms a new swing low below the previous HL: “structure is no longer unambiguous”, not “a downtrend”. A downtrend needs its own LH/LL sequence. | Calling a reversal after one LH; confusing a correction with the end of a trend |
| Downtrend | Lower highs and lower lows (LH/LL) on confirmed swings | A complete sequence of at least LH → LL → LH | Mirror image: an LH breach warns; the sequence breaks only after a confirmed 2+2 swing high above the previous LH. An uptrend needs its own HL/HH sequence. | The mirror image of the mistakes above |
| Consolidation / range | Price is contained between horizontal support and resistance, without an HH/HL or LH/LL sequence | The boundaries are zones meeting the zone-selection rule; there is no confirmed directional swing sequence between them | A breakout close beyond a boundary, followed by survival of the three-candle window | Trading breakouts in the middle of the range; calling every consolidation a flag without a flagpole or a pre-agreed duration limit for the timeframe |
| Support / resistance | A zone, rather than a single line, where price has repeatedly reversed. Its width relates to volatility, for example a fraction of ATR; draw it through a cluster of lows/highs rather than every wick. | Documented reactions under a pre-agreed definition of a test. The example in 5.3 requires at least two clear reactions over the past 6–12 months on D1, with width set by one consistent tolerance. | A breakout followed by no false breakout within three candles | Adding the zone with hindsight; a tight protective order just below the level during rollover |
| Trendline | Connects successive HLs in an uptrend or LHs in a downtrend. Two points are a minimum with limited reliability; a third touch adds confidence. A line through wicks is breached less often; a line through bodies responds earlier. | A third touch without a break | A close on the other side, using the same drawing convention | Fitting the slope to a thesis; redrawing after every breach |
| Channel | A trendline and a parallel line through opposing swings | As for a trendline, on both sides | A close outside the channel | Selling the upper boundary during a strong trend without a signal |
| Polarity principle | Genuinely broken support — a close rather than just a wick — often becomes resistance, and vice versa | A retest from the other side without closing back across | A close back on the original side | Applying it to a level breached only by a wick |
| Wick breach | A wick crosses the zone boundary without a close beyond it | Recognisable after the candle closes | Not applicable: this is an event, not a signal | Treating it as a breakout; on a bid chart, a breach that occurs only on the ask side leaves no trace |
| Breakout | A candle on the analysed timeframe closes outside the zone: convention 2 of four | Only after the close, never during the candle | False breakout: any of the next three candles closes inside the zone or beyond its opposite side | Entering on a wick because “it has already broken out”; a breakout during a tier 1 release or rollover |
| Retest | Price returns to the zone after a breakout and closes back on the breakout side, from T+1 through T+20 inclusive, with no earlier close back inside the zone. A later return is a separate approach. | A bounce from the zone with a close on the breakout side; during the first three candles, classification remains provisional until the entire false-breakout window closes | A close back inside: within the first three candles it is a false breakout; later it is outside that classification window and counts as a separate approach, not a retest (5.3) | Calling every return a retest, including one that closes inside the zone |
Breakout conventions (5.3): (1) a wick breach; (2) a close outside the zone — used in this sheet; (3) a close beyond the zone plus a buffer; (4) staying outside for N candles. Rollover at 17:00 America/New_York — normally 23:00 Europe/Warsaw, or 22:00 during DST mismatch weeks — widens spreads and can appear to “break” levels without corresponding selling pressure. A buffer should be compared with the broker's typical spread expansion in historical quotes, rather than chosen by appearance.
Table 2: chart patterns
The overview from 5.4, with mirror-image variants. The measured-target column uses the classical full-height rule (Edwards & Magee): project a distance from the breakout point. This is a planning reference, not a forecast. A neckline drawn through closes and one drawn through wicks give different levels; choose the convention before the breakout.
| Pattern | Type | Required context | Confirmation | Invalidation | Measured target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Head and shoulders | reversal | A preceding uptrend; three peaks, the middle one highest; the neckline joins the intervening troughs | A close below the neckline | A close back above the neckline | The head-to-neckline distance projected down from the break |
| Inverse head and shoulders | reversal | A preceding downtrend; three troughs, the middle one lowest | A close above the neckline | A close back below the neckline | The head-to-neckline distance projected upwards |
| Double top | reversal | An uptrend; two peaks at similar levels | A close below the trough between the peaks | A close back above the intervening trough | The peak-to-trough distance projected downwards |
| Double bottom | reversal | A downtrend; two lows at similar levels, rather than a support retest within an ongoing uptrend | A close above the peak between the lows | A close back below the intervening peak | The bottom-to-peak distance projected upwards |
| Triple top / triple bottom | reversal | As for a double pattern, but with three tests; rarer and closely related to a rectangle | Following the double-pattern logic in 5.4: a close beyond the extreme of the troughs or peaks between the tests | A close back on the original side | The formation's height projected from the break |
| Symmetrical triangle | usually continuation | A preceding impulse; symmetrically converging lines; the breakout direction is not predetermined | A close beyond a triangle boundary | A close back inside the triangle | The widest part, or base, projected from the breakout |
| Ascending triangle | bullish continuation | An uptrend; flat resistance and rising lows | A close above the upper, horizontal line | A close back below the broken line | The widest part projected from the breakout |
| Descending triangle | bearish continuation | A downtrend; flat support and falling highs | A close below the lower, horizontal line | A close back above the broken line | The widest part projected from the breakout |
| Flag / pennant | continuation | A strong impulse, or flagpole, immediately beforehand; a brief countertrend-sloping correction (flag) or small triangle (pennant). Judge duration on the chosen timeframe: a D1 flag can last several weeks. Set a candle-count limit before testing, rather than assuming “weeks means no flag”. | A close beyond the flag boundary in the direction of the flagpole | A close back inside the flag | The flagpole length projected from the breakout: a “half-mast” formation |
| Rectangle | continuation / range | Horizontal support and resistance; the range height becomes established only after several tests of both boundaries (5.4) | A close beyond a boundary | A close back inside; within three candles this is a false breakout | The rectangle's height projected from the breakout |
| Falling wedge | context-dependent bullish | Both lines slope down, the lower one more slowly, narrowing the range. After a decline it can be a reversal; within an uptrend it can be a pause. | A close above the upper wedge line | A close back below the broken line | The wedge base projected from the breakout |
| Rising wedge | context-dependent bearish | Both lines rise, the lower one faster than the upper. After a rise it can be a reversal; within a downtrend it can be a pause. | A close below the lower wedge line | A close back above the broken line | The wedge base projected from the breakout |
Measured-move calculation (illustrative example from 5.4; EUR/USD, 1 pip = 0.0001): head 1.1080, neckline 1.0920 → H = 160 pips → target = 1.0920 − 0.0160 = 1.0760. Drawing that neckline through wicks might place it at 1.0905, producing a different target. Recognition-quality filter: four questions from 5.4. Time of day: did the break occur during thin liquidity or a widened spread, such as rollover or early Asia? Macro calendar: is confirmation just before or after a top-tier release? Room to target: is a strong D1/W1 zone between the breakout and measured target? Breakout quality: does the candle close clearly beyond the line, rather than only wicking through it? Tick volume is at most supporting evidence. Classical volume confirmation is less direct on spot FX because the available measure is tick volume.
Table 3: candlestick patterns
Shape definitions and the confirmation convention come from 5.5. The final column explains the limits of pattern assessment. The literature discussed there (Bulkowski, Morris, Marshall et al.) combines shape descriptions with different tests on US equities: direction frequency, move size and rule profitability are not the same measure. They cannot be combined into one ranking or a hit rate to transfer to Forex. Context matters: a hammer at D1 support and a hammer in the middle of a range convey different information.
| Pattern | Candles | Type | How to recognise it | Context | Confirmation / invalidation | What the evidence does and does not establish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammer | 1 | Bullish reversal | Small body near the top; lower wick ≥ 2× body; minimal upper wick; colour is secondary | After a decline, at support | The next candle closes above the hammer high; invalidation: a close below its low | The shape alone does not establish accuracy. Check the trend filter, confirmation and measurement horizon. |
| Hanging man | 1 | Warning | The same shape as a hammer | After a rise | The next candle closes below its low; invalidation: a close above its high | A warning, not a prediction of a decline. Price can continue upward; the complete rule needs testing. |
| Shooting star | 1 | Bearish reversal | Mirror image of a hammer: small body near the bottom, upper wick ≥ 2× body, minimal lower wick | After a rise, at resistance | The next candle closes below its low; invalidation: a close above its high | The frequency of subsequent declines is not profitability: move size, stop placement and costs also matter. |
| Inverted hammer | 1 | Bullish warning | The shape of a shooting star | After a decline, at support | The next candle closes above its high; invalidation: a close below its low | Section 5.5 describes it as weaker than a classic hammer; that comparison is not a test of a common strategy on FX. |
| Doji | 1 | No inherent direction | Open ≈ close; body nearly zero. A “2× body” threshold is then uninformative: compare wicks with the entire range. Dragonfly doji: open/close near the high, dominant long lower wick | After a clear trend; inside a range it adds no directional information | After a rise, the next candle closes below its low; reverse the rule after a decline. This confirmation is rarely met when the wicks are long | It has no inherent direction. Define the entry side, context and exit before assessing results. |
| Spinning top | 1 | Indecision | Small body near the middle, wicks on both sides | After a directional move | As for a doji | As for a doji: indecision is not a forecast. |
| Marubozu | 1 | One-sided strength | No wicks: the body spans the full high–low range. Allowing wicks of a few percent is a practical convention | Anywhere; relatively rare on EUR/USD D1 | Section 5.5 sets no confirmation/invalidation rule: this is a strength candle, not a reversal pattern. Late in a long trend it can be a climax, not an invitation to enter | Not included in the comparison table in 5.5. It describes strength in the completed candle, not a guarantee about the next one. |
| Engulfing | 2 | Reversal | The second body covers the first body, not necessarily its wicks; opposite colours in 5.5 (the definition in 5.6 does not specify colour) | After an opposite-direction move, at a zone | The next candle closes beyond the extremes of both candles. Bullish invalidation: C ≤ the upper edge of body 2; bearish: C ≥ the lower edge of body 2, including a move farther in the adverse direction | Direction frequency and average move size are separate measures; neither alone is strategy profitability. |
| Harami | 2 | Pause / warning | Body 2 lies inside body 1 — the reverse of engulfing | After a strong move | A third candle closing beyond candle 1’s range produces a three inside pattern | Harami cross, whose second candle is a doji, is a separate variant. Comparisons require a common confirmation and exit rule. |
| Piercing line / dark cloud cover | 2 | Reversal | The second candle opens outside candle 1’s range in the classic gap definition, then closes above/below the midpoint of body 1. Daily gaps are rare on FX: any adaptation must be explicit | After a directional move | The next candle closes beyond the extremes. Bullish invalidation: C ≤ the midpoint of body 1; bearish: C ≥ that midpoint | A test of the classic gapped pattern does not test a gapless FX adaptation. Define the rule first. |
| Tweezer top / bottom | 2 | Micro support/resistance | Two candles with nearly equal highs or lows | At a move extreme and an HTF zone | A close by the next candle beyond the shared extreme invalidates the setup; its relevance comes mainly from its connection to an HTF zone | Set the tolerance for “nearly equal” before testing. |
| Morning / evening star | 3 | Reversal | A long candle in the trend direction, a small star, then a third candle closing at least halfway into body 1 | After a clear trend | Candle 3 provides confirmation. Morning star invalidation: C < the star low; evening star: C > the star high | A ranking does not establish an edge from entry after candle 3. Test the two directions separately. |
| Three white soldiers / black crows | 3 | Confirmation of a change | Three long candles in the same direction, each opening within the preceding body and closing near its directional extreme | After a decline / rise | The whole pattern provides confirmation (5.5). Invalidation: a close back inside candle 1’s range or farther in the adverse direction — soldiers C ≤ H₁, crows C ≥ L₁ | After three candles the move may already be advanced. Check the distance still available to a realistic target, not just the consistency of three consecutive candles. |
| Three inside up / down | 3 | Reversal | Harami plus a third candle closing outside candle 1’s range | As for harami | Candle 3 confirms. Up invalidation: C ≤ H₁; down: C ≥ L₁, including a close beyond the opposite edge | The extra candle changes the entry price; it does not automatically improve results. |
Reading the research: Section 7 of chapter 5.5 distinguishes Bulkowski’s frequency of a subsequent direction and rankings of move size from Marshall et al.’s (2006) tests of strategy profitability. A meaningful comparison needs the same pattern and trend definitions, sample, entry, exit, horizon and costs. A ranking without its metric is insufficient; it is not an FX accuracy ranking.
Confirmation: “the next candle” means the immediately following completed candle, not any later candle that eventually meets the condition. If the immediately following candle fails the test, this pattern has not produced a signal under this convention. Candle colour is not its closing price relative to the pattern. A star’s third candle may close exactly at the midpoint of body 1; three inside requires a close beyond the relevant extreme.
Boundary examples: if H = 1.1050, C = 1.1050 does not confirm a break above it; C = 1.1051 does. For a bullish engulfing body from 1.1000 to 1.1040, closes at 1.1040, 1.1020 and 1.0990 all invalidate the bullish condition: a larger adverse move does not restore it. These are rules for evaluating the pattern, not instructions for order execution.
Pin bar ≠ hammer: the names belong to different conventions; wick/body ratios and body position must be checked rather than treated as interchangeable.
A candle does not measure the available move, its duration or trading costs. Those belong in the plan.
Table 4: price action setups
From 5.6. Context means an HTF zone with a documented reaction, a completed trigger inside that zone and the D1/W1 direction. Recognising the shape is only one part of the decision. A trigger without a zone is just a shape.
| Setup | Definition | When recognised | Invalidation / context | Common mistake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pin bar | Wick ≥ 2× body; close near the opposite end of the candle | At the candle close | Structural: a zone edge or a confirmed swing, recorded before entry; not a level placed “behind the wick” for visual appeal | Trading an “almost pin bar” or a pin bar in the middle of a range |
| Engulfing | The body covers the preceding body | At the candle close | Structural context as above; a close back into the body or farther in the adverse direction invalidates it — exact boundaries in table 3 | Confusing body engulfing with wick engulfing; trading against D1 without a defined edge |
| Inside bar | HI < HM and LI > LM: the whole range is inside the mother bar. Equality depends on the platform convention | At the inside bar close | A close outside the mother bar on the opposite side | An M15 inside bar during inactive hours; entering on an intrabar breach instead of a close |
| Outside bar | HO > HM and LO < LM: compare extremes, not bodies | At the outside bar close | The next candle closes on the opposite side of the outside bar’s range midpoint (the rule in 5.6) | Confusing an outside bar with an engulfing pattern |
| Fakey | Inside bar + a break of the inside bar’s range + a return closing inside the mother bar (scope used in 5.6; these are two different boundaries) | At the return close | A close beyond the false-break extreme | Calling every wick outside an inside bar a fakey |
Context and execution: identify the HTF zone, a completed trigger and the higher-timeframe direction. Recognition is not confirmation: use table 3 for engulfing; document the confirmation rule for other setups in your plan. A good zone is marked in advance, has a documented reaction history and a clean trigger completed in the zone, and agrees with the trend; a countertrend setup needs an explicitly tested edge. Execution should take place in an active session, outside the event and rollover windows, with a normal spread and costs small relative to the distance to the first realistic reference point. Invalidation follows structure.
Round-trip costs relative to mid: ½ the entry spread + ½ the exit spread + commissions on both executions + slippage on both executions. With an unchanged spread, that is one full spread, not two. Add swap if the position crosses the relevant financing boundary.
A stop order and a close-based assessment are separate: waiting for the candle close can allow a larger loss than an intrabar stop. Specify the response in advance and account for bid/ask execution and the available fill price.
Table 5: trend indicators
From 5.7. A trend indicator describes direction or strength already present in the data; its calculation window creates lag. Read the swing structure first. The indicator summarises swings; it does not replace the structure assessment in table 1.
| Indicator | Parameters / implementation | What it measures | In a trend | In a range | Common mistake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA | 20 / 50 / 100 / 200; longer-term filters commonly use 100 or 200 | Equal-weight mean. Removing an old candle can change the average even when the latest price is flat | Price on one side of a sloping average can serve as a filter | Repeated crosses | Treating 200 as an optimal parameter without testing or checking structure |
| EMA | 8 / 21 / 50; commonly used for shorter windows; k = 2/(n + 1) | Greater weight on recent prices; faster response than an SMA of the same length | Adapts faster than the corresponding SMA | More frequent crosses | Ignoring the initial seed and platform differences; Wilder’s RMA uses 1/n and is different |
| Moving-average crossover | 50 / 200 on D1; golden cross (shorter average crossing above the longer) / death cross (below) | A change in the relationship between averages | Often arrives after the trend has already lasted weeks | Contradictory signals | Using the crossover alone without structure or a strength filter such as ADX |
| MACD | 12 / 26 / 9: EMA(12) − EMA(26); signal = EMA(9) in Appel’s version, SMA(9) in MetaTrader; histogram = main − signal, whereas MetaTrader’s bars display the main line | Direction and momentum; an unbounded difference in price units | Describes the trend phase; crosses lag; divergences can be compared with RSI context | Choppy movement around zero | Comparing values across pairs or implementations without checking what is plotted |
| ADX | 14; Wilder’s two-stage smoothing, which adds lag | Strength, not direction; +DI/−DI describe directional relationships | Below 20: limited strength; 20–40: moderate; above 40: high historical strength. The filter “MA signals only when ADX > 25” is a convention, not a hard boundary; assess strength against the instrument’s history | Often low, but a low value does not rule out an emerging trend | Reading ADX as direction or treating conventional thresholds as physical limits |
| Parabolic SAR | Step 0.02; maximum 0.20 (Wilder’s defaults) | Direction and a mechanical trailing level | Can support a trailing-stop rule in an established trend | Frequent flips | Using it as an entry system in a range |
| Ichimoku | 9 / 26 / 52; Tenkan and Kijun are midpoints of the highest high and lowest low over 9 / 26 periods; Senkou shifted +26, Chikou −26 | Direction, momentum and zones; plotting offsets do not provide future knowledge | Price above/below the cloud, Tenkan/Kijun and Chikou relationships | Price inside the cloud is ambiguous | Reading a single layer in isolation; assuming the settings work on M5 without testing; introducing look-ahead through incorrect alignment of offsets |
| Bollinger Bands | SMA(20) ± 2σ calculated over the same 20-period window (20 and 2 are default conventions) | Volatility and price position | Price can ride a band; this can describe strength rather than a reversal opportunity | A squeeze describes volatility compression, without direction | Entering on a band touch alone |
Reading sequence (5.7, section 11): D1 — price relative to EMA(200) and EMA(21) → D1 — ADX → H4 — reaction at a zone → invalidation boundary. Read the swing structure in table 1 first (5.3, 5.6). A minimal set uses one average as a direction filter and one strength measure. A chart displaying MA(20/50/100/200), MACD, ADX, Ichimoku and Bollinger Bands together obscures price.
Table 6: oscillators and volatility
From 5.8. An oscillator describes the rate or relationship of past price changes, not the future. RSI above 70 reflects a large ratio of Wilder-smoothed gains to losses with parameter 14; the smoothing retains earlier history. Divergence is a warning, not an entry signal.
| Indicator | Parameters | Range | What it measures | Trend / range behaviour | Common mistake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI | 14 (Wilder, RMA smoothing); 30/70 reference levels. On D1, 14 periods ≈ almost three trading weeks, but RMA does not discard history older than 14 candles | 0–100 | Momentum strength. Bearish divergence: price makes a higher high, RSI a lower high; bullish: price makes a lower low, RSI a higher low. Hidden bullish: price makes a higher low, RSI a lower low — more often associated with continuation (Cardwell) | False reversal signals in trends: RSI can remain in a 40–80 band in bull markets and 20–60 in bear markets (Brown). Useful as context for entries after a pullback; in ranges, 30/70 are reference zones | Selling above 70 without checking the trend; switching between RSI(9) and RSI(14) after losses; SMA-based RSI ≠ Wilder’s RSI |
| Stochastic | (14, 3, 3): n = 14, slow %K = SMA(3) of raw %K, %D = SMA(3) of slow %K; MetaTrader default (5, 3, 3); 20/80 thresholds | 0–100 | The close’s position within the n-period range: %K = (C − Ln)/(Hn − Ln) × 100. Classic signal: %K crosses %D in an extreme zone | False reversal signals in trends; responds to bounces from range boundaries in consolidation | Using it alongside RSI as “confirmation” (5.8: different relationships of the same price are not independent evidence); Hn = Ln causes division by zero — check the platform convention |
| ROC / Momentum | Period n fixed in the plan; ROC = 100 × (C/C−n − 1); difference-based Momentum = C − C−n; MetaTrader Momentum = 100 × C/C−n | For positive prices: ROC > −100%, MetaTrader Momentum > 0; neither has a fixed upper bound. The difference version has no fixed bounds shared by all price levels | Rate of price change. Illustration: 100 → 110 gives ROC = 10%, difference-based Momentum = 10 price units, MetaTrader = 110 | Describes impulse strength in a trend and fades during a pullback; in a range it oscillates around zero (MetaTrader: 100) without a clear direction | Comparing platforms without checking the formula; at C−n = 0 the ratio is undefined |
| CCI | 20-period SMA of typical price (Lambert; formula in 5.8) — check your platform’s default period; ±100 as conventional zones | No fixed bounds | Deviation from average typical price | In trends, the absence of fixed bounds accommodates extreme moves but requires calibration for the pair; less commonly chosen for discretionary FX range trading | +100 is not an extreme on every pair; the absence of bounds can encourage complacency |
| ATR | 14 (Wilder); True Range = max(H − L, |H − C−1|, |L − C−1|) | 0–∞, in price units | Volatility without direction: zone width as a fraction of ATR, protective-order distance, costs as % of ATR; account for the session intraday | Responds to range expansion in trends, without direction; a low value in consolidation indicates compression | Treating it as a directional signal; applying D1 ATR to an M15 stop without conversion |
| Bollinger Bands | SMA(20) ± 2σ | Dynamic | Volatility + price position relative to the average | Price can ride a band in a trend; in consolidation, a squeeze indicates volatility compression without direction | Buying/selling merely because price touches a band |
When an oscillator stops helping (5.8): in a strong trend (“overbought” can last for weeks), on an unfinished candle (the value changes until the close), when comparing pairs and platforms (different implementations), and just before a tier 1 release. Oscillators and trend indicators answer different questions. “Confirming” RSI with stochastic means two momentum readings from the same candles, not two independent pieces of evidence.
Table 7: Fibonacci and Elliott waves
From 5.9 and 5.10. A Fibonacci grid measures retracement depth and possible extension; it does not predict that price “must” reach a level. Moving the swing anchor by one candle moves every level: a grid anchored to an unconfirmed swing is provisional. Elliott wave theory has three hard rules (a breach invalidates the count); the rest are guidelines.
| Tool / rule | Levels and construction | How to read it | Invalidation / limitation | Common mistake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retracements | 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% (50% is customary, not a Fibonacci ratio). In an uptrend, draw from low to high, from the start of the move to its end; in a downtrend, from high to low. Level = H − (H − L) × r for an upward move; L + (H − L) × r for a downward move | 23.6–38.2% describes a shallow retracement; 61.8–78.6% a deep one. Practitioners relate depth to trend condition, but the percentage alone proves neither strength nor the next direction. A level is an observation zone, not an entry point | A candle close beyond the anchor (below L for an upward grid) invalidates the measurement. 78.6% is a fuzzy boundary, not a hard condition. A level without a trigger from tables 3–4 is not a signal | Anchoring to an unconfirmed swing; treating 61.8% as a “certain” reversal zone |
| Extensions | 127.2%, 161.8%, 200%. Two-point projection: after an upward move, L + (H − L) × r; after a downward move, H − (H − L) × r (the mirror image; 5.9 presents the upward version), for r > 1 (“Fibonacci Extension”). Three-point expansion: C + (B − A) × r (MetaTrader “Fibonacci Expansion”, TradingView “Trend-Based Fib Extension”) | A potential continuation distance — a reference for an exit plan | The market does not have to reach the extension; the two constructions produce different levels from the same points | Mixing two-point and three-point constructions; expecting the target to be reached |
| Clusters / confluence | Levels from 2–3 grids anchored to different swings coincide in one band, e.g. 61.8% of the latest move, 38.2% of a larger swing and 78.6% of an earlier impulse; an illustrative D1 band might be 20–30 pips wide | A zone gains relevance when the cluster overlaps support/resistance from table 1 | Too many grids create artificial density: “confluence” then appears everywhere | Drawing from every swing; using arcs and fans without accounting for Y-axis scaling, which changes angles and prevents repeatability across platforms |
| Elliott — three hard rules | (1) Wave 2 does not retrace more than 100% of wave 1; (2) wave 3 is not the shortest of waves 1, 3 and 5; (3) wave 4 does not enter wave 1 territory in an ordinary impulse (diagonals have their own rules) | A breach invalidates that impulse count: relabel and use an alternative scenario (5.10, section 8) | Scenario invalidation occurs when the boundary is crossed — including by a wick in 5.10, unlike the breakout convention in table 1. Record the convention you use | Bending the count to rescue a scenario; counting waves on unconfirmed swings |
| Elliott — guidelines | Alternation between waves 2 and 4; channeling; equality of the two non-extended waves: with an extended wave 3, compare wave 5’s length with wave 1’s. The alternative 61.8% relationship also refers here to wave 1 (EWI, “Equality”). Benchmarks: wave 2 = 50–78.6% of wave 1; wave 3 = 161.8–261.8% of wave 1; wave 4 = 23.6–50% of wave 3; wave 5 = 61.8–100% of wave 1; wave C = 100–161.8% of wave A | A breach weakens a count without invalidating it. Two valid counts of the same data can coexist until one boundary is crossed | Indicative length ratios, not probability estimates; actual proportions vary | Treating guidelines as hard rules; presenting “wave 3 target = 161.8%” as a forecast |
| Elliott — correction types | Zigzag 5-3-5 (sharp; wave 2, wave A); flat 3-3-5 (sideways; wave 4, wave B; in an expanded flat, B exceeds 100% of A); triangle 3-3-3-3-3 (contracting; waves 4, B, X); complex WXY | Correction shape offers context about your position in the structure, not when it will end | Wave B in an expanded flat can exceed wave 5’s high: an apparent trend resumption that is not one | Buying wave B as a new impulse; selling the low after wave C |
Illustrative calculation (5.9; EUR/USD, 1 pip = 0.0001): move from 1.0500 → 1.1000; retracements: 23.6% = 1.0882; 38.2% = 1.0809; 50% = 1.0750; 61.8% = 1.0691; 78.6% = 1.0607. Anchoring the same grid at a swing of 1.0620 gives 38.2% = 1.0855 — a 46-pip difference from one choice of anchor. Spot FX has no inherent equity-like directional drift or centralised volume, and central-bank interventions can be direct; wave theory originated with equity indices (5.10).
Tables 8–10: timeframes and checks before a decision
From 5.11: three timeframes — the higher one supplies the trend, the main one the setup, the lower one the entry timing. A working spacing rule is 4–6× between adjacent frames (Elder’s “factor of five”). Analyse from the top down, using completed candles only. The second table gives the checks from 5.6; the third is the rule-definition checklist from 5.12. Use them before a decision and before putting a condition into a scanner or alert.
| Style | Higher TF (trend) | Main TF (setup) | Lower TF (entry) | Holding period | Review rhythm | Common mistake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Position trading | MN | W1 | D1 | Weeks–months | Weekly | Skipping W1 and trading solely from MN — signals become too slow |
| Swing trading | W1 | D1 | H4 | Days–2 weeks | 2–3× daily | Entering before the D1 candle closes “because there is an H4 setup” |
| Active swing / day trading | D1 | H4 | H1 | 1–5 days | Every few hours | Holding over a weekend without assessing gap risk and position size |
| Day trading | H4 | H1 | M15 | Hours | Continuously during the session | Ignoring the session — M15 in Asia and during the London/NY overlap offer very different conditions |
| Scalping (with reservations) | H1 | M15 | M5 | Minutes–hours | Continuously | Ignoring spread as a percentage of the available move |
The review rhythm concerns analysis of the setup; define monitoring of open positions, orders and risk separately in the plan. Candle boundaries depend on server time (5.11): on a GMT+2/+3 “New York close” server, D1 closes at 17:00 America/New_York — usually 23:00 Europe/Warsaw, or 22:00 during the US/European DST mismatch weeks. H4 boundaries occur every four hours from that daily close; there are five D1 candles per week. On a GMT+0 server, D1 closes at 00:00 UTC — 01:00 Warsaw in winter / 02:00 in summer. Overnight movement may be split across two D1 candles, and a short Sunday candle usually appears. Conflicting frames (D1 up, H4 down) can describe a pullback or the start of a change. The previously recorded invalidation condition resolves the scenario; the higher frame usually supplies direction but does not determine the outcome (5.11).
| Question | Good setup | Poor setup |
|---|---|---|
| Zone | From a higher timeframe (D1/W1), with a documented reaction history under your stated definition of a test | Drawn after the fact to fit the candle |
| Structure (minimal procedure in 5.6) | Swing sequence identified explicitly using a transparent rule (table 1) | “It looks like a trend” — projection instead of a defined reading |
| Trigger | The pattern meets the definition in tables 3–4 without reinterpretation and has closed in the zone | “Almost a pin bar” |
| Direction | Aligned with D1/W1 | Countertrend without a clear edge |
| Dollar context | For USD pairs, the broader higher-timeframe picture has been checked (e.g. DXY), as context rather than independent confirmation | Ignored or counted as a “second confirmation” for EUR/USD |
| Session | The candle formed in an active London/NY window | Rollover, or the Asian session for European pairs |
| Spread and timing | Normal spread, outside rollover; round-trip cost relative to mid = ½ entry spread + ½ exit spread + commissions and slippage on both executions | Widened spread; using “2× spread” as the estimate |
| Macro calendar | No tier 1 release (NFP, CPI, FOMC, ECB, BoJ) in the next 30 minutes — the window from checklist 5.6; set your own instrument-specific window in the plan. Check release times in the economic calendar chapter; the standalone macro cheat sheet (Toolkit D) also explains release schedules | Entering “before the data because the setup looks good” |
| Liquidity on the other side | The setup does not lead directly into an obvious HTF zone | The setup leads straight into an obvious HTF zone — potentially the next move’s target rather than yours (5.6) |
| Room to move | Meaningful space exists between entry and the first realistic reference point | Price immediately enters the next HTF zone or liquidity area, which may stop the move earlier |
| Costs relative to distance | Spread, commission and slippage are a small fraction of the distance to the first reference point (thresholds: section 9) | Costs consume a substantial part of the potential distance at entry |
| Invalidation boundary | Structural — a confirmed swing or zone edge — and recorded before entry | Placed “behind the candle” for visual appeal and vulnerable to ordinary noise |
| Element | Control question |
|---|---|
| Universe | Which instruments do I scan — a fixed list rather than “everything”? |
| Data source | Whose feed, and which prices (bid, ask, mid)? Is it the one I trade? |
| Timeframe and assessment time | Completed candles only? Exactly when is the condition calculated? |
| Indicator and implementation | Which parameters and whose implementation (Wilder’s RSI ≠ SMA-based RSI; Appel’s MACD ≠ MetaTrader’s MACD)? |
| Operator and threshold | A crossing of the threshold or a state above/below it? With what tolerance? |
| Scan frequency | Once per completed candle, once daily at a fixed time, or continuously? |
| Missing data | What does the rule do with a missing candle, a weekend gap or a symbol change? |
| Deduplication and reset | How many alerts if the condition holds for six consecutive candles? What invalidates the signal and allows the rule to trigger again? |
| Look-ahead and repainting | Does the condition use information unavailable at the decision time (the final close of a forming candle, a future-confirmed swing, an HTF value before the period ends)? Does the indicator redraw completed history? |
Technical analysis cheat sheet v1.2 · conventions checked against section 5 of the Polish mybank.pl course: 11 September 2026 · confirmation = a candle close on the analysed timeframe (stars and three inside incorporate it in candle 3; soldiers/crows in the complete pattern); invalidation = a close back across the specified boundary (exception: an Elliott count can also be invalidated by a wick); swing = 2+2 rule; false breakout = a close inside the zone or beyond its opposite edge within the next 3 candles; retest = a return and close on the breakout side within 20 candles · indicator parameters are conventions, not physical limits · pattern statistics mainly come from US equities and are not Forex accuracy estimates · this cheat sheet is not investment advice
FAQ
Why can the same EUR/USD day be a hammer at one broker but not another?
Because the D1 day ends where the broker’s server defines it. A “New York close” server (GMT+2 in winter / GMT+3 in summer) closes the daily candle at 17:00 America/New_York: usually 23:00 Europe/Warsaw, or 22:00 in the weeks when US and European DST schedules differ. A GMT+0 server closes at 00:00 UTC: 01:00 Warsaw in winter / 02:00 in summer. Dividing the same quotes at different points produces different opens and closes, different candle shapes, different RSI(14) readings and different H4 boundaries. In the example in 5.5, the same day produced a hammer with a 16-pip body near the high at one broker and a spinning top with a 3-pip body in the middle of the range at another. In practice, apply these rules to the chart you trade and check server time before comparing D1 patterns with someone else’s screenshot.
RSI has crossed 70 — is that a sell signal?
No. RSI above 70 indicates that smoothed gains are large relative to smoothed losses with parameter 14. Wilder’s RMA retains a diminishing influence from earlier data, and RSI can stay above 70 for weeks in a strong trend. In a bull market it often occupies a 40–80 band rather than 30–70. The 30/70 thresholds are reference levels in Wilder’s convention, not physical boundaries. The course lists selling at “RSI > 70 without checking the trend” as a typical mistake (5.8). First check structure in table 1 (are there confirmed HH/HL?), then the zone, then a trigger from tables 3–4. RSI supplies context for that sequence rather than replacing it. RSI divergence is also a warning, not a signal.
How many “confirmations” should I collect before entering — a pattern, RSI, stochastic, MACD?
The number does not matter if they all describe the same momentum. RSI and MACD use closes; stochastic uses the close relative to a range. All three describe momentum in the same candles, so agreement is not three independent pieces of evidence. DXY as context for EUR/USD similarly draws heavily on the same exchange rates. Elements at different levels answer different questions: swing structure (table 1), an HTF zone and a trigger completed in that zone (tables 3–4). Even those three are not statistically independent, because they derive from the same price. Execution conditions — session, spread and calendar in “Checks before a decision” — are not simply functions of price (spread only partly so). The minimal procedure in 5.6 has four steps: zones → structure → pattern → execution conditions. More indicators usually obscure price rather than add information.
Why does the cheat sheet not give pattern success rates as percentages?
Because the figures circulated in the literature mainly come from US equities (Bulkowski’s databases and Marshall et al.’s research), depend on the pattern definition, and often identify patterns retrospectively, when swings and breakouts appear obvious. In live analysis, both arrive with a delay (the 2+2 rule and candle close). Spot FX also lacks centralised volume and the daily gaps included in some classic definitions. The Polish discussion therefore presents only relative comparisons, such as morning stars versus harami, or hanging men preceding continuation more often than reversal in some tests; these depend on the study and metric, as explained in 5.4–5.5 and table 3. Measure your own rule on your own data using the testing protocol (Toolkit N) and English trading journal workbook (Toolkit F). The English journal guide explains the workbook; the journal and metrics chapter provides further course guidance.
Related course material
- Section 5: technical analysis — the foundation of the conventions in this cheat sheet, supplemented by the documentation listed below: 5.1 philosophy of technical analysis (when it fails), 5.2 chart construction, 5.3 trend, support and resistance, 5.4 chart patterns, 5.5 candlestick patterns, 5.6 price action, 5.7 moving averages and trend indicators, 5.8 oscillators, 5.9 Fibonacci, 5.10 Elliott waves, 5.11 multiple timeframes, 5.12 automation and screening
- Toolkit E — trading plan and playbook template. Use the available trading plan and playbook chapter for setup cards in which to record confirmation and invalidation conditions from tables 2–4.
- Toolkit N — strategy testing protocol — before a rule from this cheat sheet enters the plan, test it with a frozen definition.
- Toolkit J — trader checklists — pre-trade questions, some of which appear again in “Checks before a decision”.
- Toolkit D — macro cheat sheet — release schedules and timing notes for the calendar check. Also use the economic calendar chapter.
- Toolkit B — currency pair profiles — the sessions and hours when each pair is active, for the session check.
- Toolkit I — trader code kit — the kit covers session windows in Pine Script (S6) and journal scripts. The available Python in trading chapter introduces automation; Toolkit H, prompt P3 helps review your rule before automating it.
- Glossary — entries: support and resistance, breakout, chart pattern, candlestick pattern, price action, moving average, RSI, MACD, ADX, ATR, divergence, Fibonacci, Elliott waves, MTF, look-ahead bias
Sources
- Section 5 of the Polish mybank.pl course (checked: 11 September 2026) — the source of definitions and conventions, including the v1.2 boundary clarifications. Indicator and ratio details use the documentation below: 5.3 (2+2 rule, breakout conventions, polarity), 5.4 (pattern table, measured moves), 5.5 (three pattern states, confirmation convention, candlestick table), 5.6 (price action setup definitions and checklist), 5.7–5.8 (indicator parameters and interpretation), 5.9–5.10 (Fibonacci levels, Elliott rules and guidelines), 5.11 (timeframe combinations and server time), 5.12 (objective rule definitions).
- Robert D. Edwards, John Magee, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Stock Trend Service, Springfield MA, 1948 — definitions of support, resistance, trendlines, polarity, patterns and measured moves; flags as “half-mast” patterns.
- John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, New York Institute of Finance, 1999 — pattern classification, moving averages (chapter 9), Fibonacci (chapter 13) and integration of timeframes.
- Thomas N. Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, Wiley, 2021 (3rd ed.), and Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, Wiley, 2008 — databases of US equity chart and candlestick patterns discussed in 5.5; their different metrics do not form one success ranking for table 3.
- Steve Nison, Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques, New York Institute of Finance, 1991 (2nd ed. 2001); Gregory L. Morris, Candlestick Charting Explained, McGraw-Hill, 2006 — candlestick definitions and contextual filters.
- J. Welles Wilder Jr., New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, Trend Research, 1978 — RSI (30/70 thresholds), ATR, ADX and the directional system, Parabolic SAR and Wilder’s smoothing.
- Gerald Appel, Technical Analysis: Power Tools for Active Investors, FT Press, 2005 — MACD (12, 26, 9), signal line and histogram; George C. Lane, “Lane’s Stochastics”, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, Vol. 2, No. 3, 1984 — %K/%D; Constance Brown, Technical Analysis for the Trading Professional, McGraw-Hill, 1999 — RSI trend ranges and Cardwell’s hidden divergences.
- Robert R. Prechter Jr., Alfred J. Frost, Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior, 10th ed., New Classics Library, 2005 — the 5-3 structure, three rules, guidelines and correction types.
- Alexander Elder, Trading for a Living, Wiley, 1993 (chapter 9: Triple Screen), and The New Trading for a Living, Wiley, 2014 — the triple-screen system, timeframe selection and the “factor of five”.
- Carol L. Osler, “Support for Resistance: Technical Analysis and Intraday Exchange Rates”, FRBNY Economic Policy Review, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2000 — one of the studies specifically examining currencies: statistical significance of intraday support and resistance levels.
- Andrew W. Lo, Harry Mamaysky, Jiang Wang, “Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation”, Journal of Finance, Vol. 55, No. 4, 2000 — algorithmic pattern definitions and their dependence on the recognition method.
- MetaQuotes, Momentum and MACD — platform formulas: Momentum centred on 100 and the SMA(9) MACD signal line; TradingView, RSI — RMA smoothing. Access date in the Polish source: 11 September 2026.
- Elliott Wave International, Waveopedia: Equality — the length relationship between the two non-extended waves; table 7 distinguishes length ratios from probability. Access date in the Polish source: 11 September 2026.
- StockCharts, Flag, Pennant and Ichimoku Cloud — flag duration and Ichimoku plotting offsets. Access date in the Polish source: 11 September 2026.
- Ben R. Marshall, Martin R. Young, Lawrence C. Rose, Candlestick technical trading strategies: Can they create value for investors?, Journal of Banking & Finance 30(8), 2006, pp. 2303–2323, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.08.001 — a test of candlestick-rule profitability, distinct from rankings of direction frequency and move size.
Locate the moment a swing becomes confirmed
A hypothetical candle sequence with three exercises. Separate the location of a candidate high from the time its confirmation became available.
Use the declared course definition
The sheet above uses a two-before, two-after convention for a swing. A candidate high cannot be confirmed from its own candle alone. Two subsequent completed candles must also satisfy the comparison. A mark drawn retrospectively on the candidate’s candle must not imply that confirmation was already available there.
For this invented EUR/USD example, require the middle high to be strictly higher than both preceding and both following highs. Equal highs do not qualify under this explicitly strict exercise rule. All prices are USD per EUR and all five observations below are completed candles from one feed.
Keep the high and the availability time separate
| Candle | High | Role |
|---|---|---|
| P−2 | 1.0810 | First preceding candle |
| P−1 | 1.0812 | Second preceding candle |
| P | 1.0818 | Candidate high |
| P+1 | 1.0815 | First following candle |
| P+2 | 1.0814 | Second following candle |
The candidate’s 1.0818 exceeds all four comparison highs. It qualifies under the strict rule only after P+2 is complete and its high is available. The candidate location and the confirmation moment are different records.
After P+1 alone, only one following candle is complete. The candidate remains provisional because the next high is still unknown. Do not place the final P+2 value into an earlier decision record.
Test an alternative without rewriting the original
In a separate branch, let P+2 instead finish with a high of 1.0820. The earlier candidate P no longer qualifies, because that later high exceeds 1.0818. This changes the comparison result; it does not establish a confirmed swing at P+2. That new candidate would need its own following observations.
The original and alternative are synthetic branches, not revisions to an actual market chart. The example says nothing about which branch is more likely. Record the rule, feed and information available at the assessment time so the classification can be reproduced.
Do not turn a confirmed definition into an entry
A confirmed swing is a structural label under a chosen convention. It supplies neither a complete setup nor a permitted order, size or guaranteed stop price. Other rows of the sheet have their own confirmation and invalidation conditions; do not substitute the swing’s timing rule for them.
Use the tables and detailed course chapter to identify which definition is being tested. When reading a historical drawing, ask when its label first became knowable. The three extra exercises below test that distinction. Apply the same question when reviewing a saved chart or explaining a label in your journal.
Three exercises with explanations
1. When does P qualify in the original branch?
P high 1.0818 exceeds the four comparison highs; the rule needs two following completed candles.
Show the answer and explanation
C. Keep the label at P and its availability after P +2 as separate facts.
- A. The following observations are not yet known.
- B. Starting a candle does not provide its completed high.
- C. The second following completed observation supplies the last required comparison.
- D. Profit is not part of the supplied definition.
2. What follows if P +2 instead finishes at 1.0820?
The earlier candidate P has high 1.0818 under the same strict rule.
Show the answer and explanation
A. 1.0820 exceeds 1.0818. Keep the alternative branch separate from the original.
- A. The required strict comparison fails for P.
- B. The following highs are part of this definition.
- C. A new candidate still needs its own following observations.
- D. The supplied prices differ.
3. What does the original confirmed swing establish by itself?
Only this strict structural definition has been tested.
Show the answer and explanation
D. Use the confirmed structure as an input to the appropriate complete process, with its availability time recorded.
- A. No return evidence is supplied.
- B. Entry and account checks are missing.
- C. A structural level is not a guaranteed execution contract.
- D. Definition matching does not complete an order decision.